trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 47% | 47% | -2.7% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 47% | 47% | -2.7% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 47% | 47% | -2.7% |
| all | 17 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 47% | 47% | -2.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -6.1% | 47% | -2.7% |
| 10% | -15.1% | 47% | -12.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -23.3% | 41% | -20.5% |
| 20% | -30.8% | 35% | -28.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 51¢ | 52¢ | $16,830 | $16,995 | +$165 (+1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 66¢ | 66¢ | $10,314 | $10,294 | −$20 (-0%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Belgium | 36¢ | 38¢ | $9,380 | $9,750 | +$370 (+4%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 57¢ | 55¢ | $10,000 | $9,501 | −$499 (-5%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 70¢ | 66¢ | $6,776 | $6,444 | −$332 (-5%) |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Canada | 52¢ | 52¢ | $5,818 | $5,764 | −$54 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 59¢ | 57¢ | $5,578 | $5,436 | −$142 (-3%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $4,880 | $5,000 | +$120 (+2%) |
| Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 80¢ | 96¢ | $4,171 | $4,972 | +$800 (+19%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | No | 50¢ | 46¢ | $5,000 | $4,550 | −$450 (-9%) |
| Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 57¢ | 60¢ | $3,990 | $4,235 | +$245 (+6%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | No | 42¢ | 46¢ | $3,696 | $4,004 | +$308 (+8%) |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 38¢ | 36¢ | $3,800 | $3,650 | −$150 (-4%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 36¢ | 36¢ | $3,600 | $3,550 | −$50 (-1%) |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 31¢ | 36¢ | $3,100 | $3,550 | +$450 (+15%) |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Senegal | 61¢ | 60¢ | $3,495 | $3,466 | −$29 (-1%) |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Uruguay | 40¢ | 42¢ | $2,462 | $2,553 | +$91 (+4%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 54¢ | 56¢ | $1,984 | $2,075 | +$91 (+5%) |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $2,040 | $2,010 | −$30 (-1%) |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Spain | 51¢ | 52¢ | $1,711 | $1,728 | +$17 (+1%) |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | England | 30¢ | 30¢ | $1,728 | $1,699 | −$29 (-2%) |
| Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $1,600 | $1,600 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Cabo Verde | 61¢ | 64¢ | $940 | $979 | +$39 (+4%) |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Over | 43¢ | 46¢ | $430 | $455 | +$25 (+6%) |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 54¢ | 56¢ | $335 | $344 | +$9 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $18,789 | −$18,570 | -99% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $1,675 | −$1,675 | -100% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $4,250 | −$4,250 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $48,313 | +$27,435 | +57% |
| Spread: Sweden (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $722 | +$1,994 | +276% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $3,552 | −$3,500 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $12,479 | +$5,521 | +44% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $10,075 | −$75 | -1% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10,180 | −$10,180 | -100% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $9,148 | +$10,852 | +119% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $17,520 | +$13,480 | +77% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5,549 | +$1,451 | +26% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $2,207 | −$2,207 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $8,062 | −$8,062 | -100% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $6,486 | −$6,486 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2,337 | +$2,663 | +114% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $2,661 | +$4,039 | +152% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $2 | 28m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $1 | 28m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $2 | 28m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $32 | 28m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $1 | 36m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $1 | 36m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $1 | 36m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $23 | 36m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $2 | 39m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $1 | 39m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $6 | 39m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $5 | 42m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $19 | 42m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $1 | 42m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $7 | 46m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $3 | 46m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $1 | 46m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $10 | 52m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $10 | 53m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $1 | 53m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $1 | 53m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $2 | 53m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $49 | 53m |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $2 | 53m |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | BUY Belgium | 37¢ | $3,016 | 1h |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $11 | 1h |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $3 | 1h |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY Spain | 51¢ | $12 | 1h |