Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:02:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa826…4b79
crypto · 1636 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$254 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$254 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$254
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses1037 / 597
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1634 / 1636
Avg bet$4
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1634 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days+$73
14 days+$96
30 days+$254
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 86¢ 90¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 77¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$254
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 890 +8.6% -1.7% 64% 63% -6.3%
≤30d 1634 +9.6% -0.8% 63% 62% -5.9%
≤90d 1634 +9.6% -0.8% 63% 62% -5.9%
all 1634 +9.6% -0.8% 63% 62% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.8% 62% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -10.3% 58% -14.9%
15% -19.0% 46% -23.1%
20% -26.9% 33% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.98 · official $3.00 · 3500 history records