trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +79.9% | +62.8% | 100% | 100% | +19.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 67% | 67% | -5.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +25.6% | +13.6% | 50% | 50% | -11.2% |
| all | 16 | +7.7% | -2.6% | 44% | 44% | -29.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.6% | 44% | -29.9% |
| 10% | -11.9% | 38% | -36.6% |
| 15% | -20.4% | 31% | -42.7% |
| 20% | -28.2% | 25% | -48.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 19¢ | $75 | $112 | +$37 (+49%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 15¢ | $50 | $66 | +$16 (+32%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $75 | $65 | −$10 (-13%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $50 | $61 | +$11 (+21%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $40 | $41 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 8¢ | $50 | $33 | −$17 (-34%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $56 | $28 | −$28 (-50%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $19 | −$31 (-61%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $25 | $17 | −$8 (-31%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $91 | +$12 | +13% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $15 | +$22 | +147% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$28 | -55% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Mar 28 | $950 | −$27 | -3% |
| Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 09 | $25 | +$41 | +163% |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | Jan 31 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner | Jan 30 | $25 | +$61 | +244% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24? | Jan 24 | $135 | +$44 | +32% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 19 | $50 | +$36 | +72% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 27 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Dec 11 | $35 | +$16 | +45% |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Dec 04 | $185 | −$185 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Nov 29 | $214 | −$46 | -21% |
| Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Nov 29 | $90 | −$13 | -14% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 23 | $350 | −$350 | -100% |