Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa82b…dd2a
crypto · 611 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$215 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$204 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$204
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses282 / 326
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions3
Markets (closed)608 / 611
History coverage64d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day45.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 608 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$62
14 days−$56
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Gen.G 49¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$12 -31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $53 +$2 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $34 +$15 +45%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $27 −$2 -7%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $3 −$3 -92%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$1 +23%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 −$1 -12%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $2 $0 -22%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 09 $2 +$1 +27%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South A Jun 08 $3 $0 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$5 +46%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $5 +$11 +203%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $16 +$11 +66%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $6 +$1 +10%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $37 −$29 -78%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$2 +23%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $72 +$11 +15%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $19 −$9 -49%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $25 +$5 +21%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $34 +$4 +13%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $55 +$28 +50%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $31 −$2 -7%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $14 +$9 +67%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $14 +$4 +31%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $37 −$8 -21%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $6 $0 +6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $23 +$117 +497%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $22 −$2 -9%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $71 +$1 +2%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $43 −$11 -25%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $32 −$21 -67%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $18 −$5 -28%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $27 −$9 -36%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $47 −$44 -93%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $16 +$14 +86%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2 $0 +16%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $35 −$2 -7%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $38 +$64 +169%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $72 −$51 -70%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $70 −$44 -63%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $19 −$4 -20%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $26 −$10 -38%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $51 +$19 +38%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 06 $31 +$1 +2%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $35 +$20 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% −$102
crypto 37% −$85
other 22% −$30
world 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 18¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 18¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 92¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $4 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 15¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 89¢ $7 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 63¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 59¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $12 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 46¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $13 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 +5.3% -4.7% 49% 39% -12.4%
≤30d 83 +3.9% -6.0% 49% 37% -12.2%
≤90d 608 -4.1% -13.3% 46% 37% -13.1%
all 608 -4.1% -13.3% 46% 37% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 37% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 31% -21.4%
15% -29.1% 26% -29.0%
20% -36.1% 19% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.37 · official $5.37 (match) · 3500 history records