Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa830…081e
crypto · 165 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses119 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)165 / 165
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day115.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 165 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 -10.4% -18.9% 72% 28% -18.4%
≤30d 165 -10.4% -18.9% 72% 28% -18.4%
≤90d 165 -10.4% -18.9% 72% 28% -18.4%
all 165 -10.4% -18.9% 72% 28% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 28% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 16% -26.2%
15% -33.7% 14% -33.3%
20% -40.2% 10% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 286 history records