Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T02:00:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A8 0xa833…de58 crypto 175 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$33 (-1%) realized −$33 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate54%94W / 81L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day58.3pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$86
7 days−$145
14 days−$46
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$41
sports 5% −$5
other 1% −$5
world 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -24.4% -31.6% 59% 20% -14.2%
≤30d 175 -4.9% -13.9% 54% 26% -10.8%
≤90d 175 -4.9% -13.9% 54% 26% -10.8%
all 175 -4.9% -13.9% 54% 26% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 26% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 19% -19.3%
15% -29.7% 17% -27.1%
20% -36.6% 13% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses94 / 81
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)175 / 175
History coverage8d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day58.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 175 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$17 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $50 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 644 history records