Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa836…f947
crypto · 1696 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$180 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$180 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized+$180
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses935 / 771
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1706 / 1696
History coverage67d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day31.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 1706 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$56
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $11 $13 +$2 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $11 $13 +$2 (+18%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on March 26? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 25? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 24? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Ma Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on March 25? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 25? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 25? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 27? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$10 +268%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$193
other 6% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $11 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $11 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $11 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $11 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $11 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $11 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $11 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $11 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $11 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $11 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $11 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 -7.0% -15.9% 76% 60% -12.1%
≤30d 564 +0.1% -9.4% 63% 55% -10.6%
≤90d 1706 +6.0% -4.1% 55% 50% -8.1%
all 1706 +6.0% -4.1% 55% 50% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 50% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 41% -16.9%
15% -21.6% 35% -24.9%
20% -29.3% 31% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.86 · official $46.72 (match) · 3500 history records