trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 50% | 50% | -6.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 50% | 50% | -6.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -25.5% | -32.6% | 38% | 38% | -35.6% |
| all | 22 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 36% | 36% | +30.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 36% | +30.8% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 36% | +18.3% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 32% | +6.9% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 27% | -3.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $400 | $350 | −$50 (-12%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Down | 53¢ | 58¢ | $200 | $219 | +$19 (+10%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Up | 61¢ | 0¢ | $400 | $0 | −$400 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Jun 20 | $208 | −$200 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Jun 20 | $412 | +$269 | +65% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Jun 20 | $105 | −$26 | -25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | Jun 20 | $407 | +$115 | +28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | Jun 20 | $106 | −$100 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Jun 20 | $309 | +$211 | +68% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $73 | +$58 | +79% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $130 | −$127 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $203 | +$174 | +86% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $99 | +$178 | +180% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $82 | −$80 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $393 | −$385 | -98% |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | Apr 08 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer | Apr 08 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01? | Apr 08 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Apr 08 | $766 | −$690 | -90% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 06 | $1,513 | −$747 | -49% |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | Mar 03 | $1,047 | −$523 | -50% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 02 | $934 | −$487 | -52% |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $1,400 | +$505 | +36% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $1,587 | +$8,318 | +524% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Feb 28 | $1,348 | −$828 | -61% |