trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 12% | 0% | -11.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 12% | 0% | -11.6% |
| all | 21 | -3.6% | -12.7% | 33% | 5% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 5% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 5% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 5% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 5% | -32.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 23 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 02 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $12 | −$8 | -62% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 29 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 28 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $6 | −$1 | -20% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election? | May 20 | $15 | +$8 | +52% |
| Will Jayson Tatum play in Game 5? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter? | Mar 31 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the New York Giants? | Mar 31 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump signs national abortion ban? | Mar 31 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or higher on March 31? | Mar 31 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 30 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 28 | $1 | $0 | -22% |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28? | Mar 27 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 26 | $21 | $0 | +0% |