Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:20:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa85f…1d1d
crypto · 264 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
−$633 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$633 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$633
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses248 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)264 / 264
History coverage226d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 264 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$12
14 days+$6
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $26 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8? Jun 08 $49 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 08 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 08 $16 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 08 $7 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $16 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 07 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 07 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $15 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 06 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 06 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $49 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $49 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 06 $16 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 4? Jun 04 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 4? Jun 04 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $15 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 04 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET Jun 03 $24 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 03 $16 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$310
finance 13% +$13
other 9% −$175
sports 8% −$162
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $16 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 36h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10? BUY Up 96¢ $26 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.9%
≤30d 109 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -8.6%
≤90d 263 -4.2% -13.3% 94% 0% -23.3%
all 264 -3.0% -12.2% 94% 0% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 0% -19.5%
10% -20.6% 0% -27.2%
15% -28.3% 0% -34.2%
20% -35.3% 0% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.55 · official $0.00 (match) · 1920 history records