trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $15 | +$17 | +114% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $4 | +$11 | +254% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$22 | +213% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $33 | 1h |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | SELL Yes | 99¢ | $15 | 9h |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | SELL Yes | 99¢ | $32 | 9h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 46¢ | $15 | 9h |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY Yes | 28¢ | $1 | 9h |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY Yes | 28¢ | $2 | 9h |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | BUY Yes | 26¢ | $1 | 10h |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 31¢ | $10 | 10h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +193.4% | +165.4% | 100% | 100% | +142.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +193.4% | +165.4% | 100% | 100% | +142.5% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +193.4% | +165.4% | 100% | 100% | +142.5% |
| all | 3 | +193.4% | +165.4% | 100% | 100% | +142.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +165.4% | 100% | +142.5% |
| 10% | +140.0% | 100% | +119.3% |
| 15% | +116.8% | 100% | +98.1% |
| 20% | +95.6% | 100% | +78.7% |