Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:06:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa87b…4537
other · 3 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$50 +168%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50
7 days+$50
14 days+$50
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$17 +114%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 +$11 +254%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$22 +213%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% +$28
sports 34% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+165.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +193.4% +165.4% 100% 100% +142.5%
≤30d 3 +193.4% +165.4% 100% 100% +142.5%
≤90d 3 +193.4% +165.4% 100% 100% +142.5%
all 3 +193.4% +165.4% 100% 100% +142.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +165.4% 100% +142.5%
10% +140.0% 100% +119.3%
15% +116.8% 100% +98.1%
20% +95.6% 100% +78.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records