Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa87b…18e6
crypto · 52 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$39 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses21 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
Avg bet$9
Trades / day201.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$39
14 days−$39
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$12 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$15 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$35 +585%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$11 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +235%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +201%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $9 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $13 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $18 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -14.3% -22.4% 40% 37% -17.6%
≤30d 52 -14.3% -22.4% 40% 37% -17.6%
≤90d 52 -14.3% -22.4% 40% 37% -17.6%
all 52 -14.3% -22.4% 40% 37% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover201.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 37% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 35% -25.4%
15% -36.6% 25% -32.6%
20% -42.8% 25% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 215 history records