Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa87d…e4bf
sports · 58 markets active 7d ago
2.5score
+$44,862 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$44,862 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$323
14 days+$30,303
30 days+$18,948
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster $451 $0 −$451 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 20¢ $292 $0 −$292 (-100%)
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-98%)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Timberwolves 20¢ $2,966 $0 −$2,966 (-100%)
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5 Under 17¢ $6,234 $0 −$6,234 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 27¢ $2,113 $0 −$2,113 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 24¢ $1,020 $0 −$1,020 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Raptors 27¢ $2,700 $0 −$2,700 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Under 24¢ $3,752 $0 −$3,752 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-14.5) Thunder 50¢ $10,005 $0 −$10,005 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Suns Suns 19¢ $851 $0 −$851 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5 Under 12¢ $1,424 $0 −$1,424 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner Movistar KOI $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? Yes 33¢ $3,002 $0 −$3,002 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-16.5) Thunder 52¢ $27,425 $0 −$27,425 (-100%)
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5 Under 23¢ $4,738 $0 −$4,738 (-100%)
Will Madagascar win on 2026-06-02? Yes $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 10¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Top Esports $619 $0 −$619 (-100%)
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? Yes $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5 Under 17¢ $1,825 $0 −$1,825 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 27¢ $2,160 $0 −$2,160 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4? Yes 10¢ $706 $0 −$706 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $1,812 −$1,021 -56%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $2,427 +$1,344 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 04 $309 +$202 +65%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 04 $12,266 +$700 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 04 $131 +$93 +71%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 03 $5,320 −$4,423 -83%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $959 −$905 -94%
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? Jun 03 $104 −$100 -96%
Will Madagascar win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $73 −$72 -98%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $17,500 +$33,128 +189%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $636 −$619 -97%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) May 31 $4,044 −$566 -14%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap May 30 $2,277 +$2,424 +106%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $724 −$14 -2%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $298 −$292 -98%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 30 $429 +$426 +99%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? May 29 $20 −$4 -20%
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? May 26 $3,885 +$3,092 +80%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner May 25 $409 −$25 -6%
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5 May 24 $6,389 −$6,234 -98%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 May 24 $3,837 −$3,752 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 24 $1,043 −$1,020 -98%
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5 May 17 $2,015 −$1,992 -99%
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5 May 13 $1,457 −$1,424 -98%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 12 $2 +$4 +233%
Spread: Thunder (-14.5) May 12 $10,005 −$10,005 -100%
Thunder vs. Lakers May 12 $2,048 −$1,075 -52%
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5 May 12 $1,375 −$847 -62%
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5 May 12 $904 −$669 -74%
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 10 $250 −$250 -100%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 09 $485 +$224 +46%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 May 09 $3,269 +$3,228 +99%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5 May 09 $4,847 −$4,738 -98%
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5 May 09 $3,679 +$382 +10%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 09 $860 +$107 +12%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner May 08 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 07 $115 +$1,034 +896%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 07 $5,624 −$3,268 -58%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 May 06 $3,236 +$14,089 +435%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score May 06 $2,659 −$2,597 -98%
Spread: Thunder (-16.5) May 06 $10,274 +$10,945 +106%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 05 $630 +$316 +50%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 05 $2,339 +$6,504 +278%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 04 $2,207 −$2,160 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4? May 04 $752 −$706 -94%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics May 02 $1,500 +$1,131 +75%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 02 $2,700 −$2,700 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets May 01 $9,355 +$5,512 +59%
Hawks vs. Knicks May 01 $16,607 +$42,353 +255%
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5 May 01 $1,000 −$812 -81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$4,893
crypto 12% +$32,135
other 9% +$14,233
politics 9% −$3,823
world 1% −$3,002
tech 0% +$426
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $90 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $1 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No 10¢ $162 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $93 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $138 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No 10¢ $1 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No 10¢ $111 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No 10¢ $46 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $0 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $0 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $28 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $1 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $1 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $1 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? SELL Yes 33¢ $542 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $0 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? SELL No $117 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? SELL Yes 35¢ $588 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? SELL Yes 38¢ $72 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? SELL Yes 38¢ $2,569 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 25¢ $208 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 24¢ $52 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 23¢ $20 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 23¢ $59 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 21¢ $133 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 20¢ $102 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? BUY No 17¢ $614 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? BUY No 16¢ $4 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? BUY No 16¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.5% -10.0% 50% 50% -2.6%
≤30d 24 +58.5% +43.4% 33% 29% +12.9%
≤90d 58 +39.7% +26.4% 38% 36% +9.4%
all 58 +39.7% +26.4% 38% 36% +9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +26.4% 36% +9.4%
10% ← realistic here +14.3% 34% -1.1%
15% +3.2% 33% -10.6%
20% -6.9% 31% -19.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 550 history records