Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:54:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa87f…1717
crypto · 1232 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$461 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$461 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$461
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses582 / 648
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1230 / 1232
History coverage79d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day28.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 1230 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$4
14 days−$58
30 days−$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 25¢ 50¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Casper Ruud 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals Rajasthan Royals 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoor Tallon Griekspoor 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 +$7 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -96%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $9 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 05 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 05 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +4%
Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Giles Hussey Jun 05 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +18%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 02 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw? Jun 01 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$435
sports 18% −$49
other 4% +$24
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 20m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 25¢ $8 42m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $13 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 46¢ $7 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 62¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 8d
Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Giles Hussey BUY Giles Hussey 62¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -16.8% -24.7% 33% 33% -19.1%
≤30d 203 -23.8% -31.0% 42% 37% -30.0%
≤90d 1230 -10.8% -19.3% 47% 43% -16.2%
all 1230 -10.8% -19.3% 47% 43% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 43% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 37% -24.2%
15% -34.1% 30% -31.5%
20% -40.5% 22% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $1.88 (match) · 2469 history records