trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -64.6% | -68.0% | 17% | 17% | -56.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -56.2% | -60.4% | 25% | 12% | -56.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -56.2% | -60.4% | 25% | 12% | -56.6% |
| all | 14 | -37.6% | -43.6% | 43% | 14% | -48.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.6% | 14% | -48.6% |
| 10% | -49.0% | 7% | -53.5% |
| 15% | -53.9% | 7% | -58.0% |
| 20% | -58.4% | 0% | -62.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $49 | $49 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $37 | $35 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 94¢ | $17 | $17 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $11 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 87¢ | 87¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 80¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-10%) |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 22¢ | 2¢ | $13 | $1 | −$12 (-92%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $81 | +$17 | +21% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $100 | −$8 | -8% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$6 | -64% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Rigged Election" on Truth Social this week? | Mar 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Mar 02 | $27 | −$11 | -39% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026? | Feb 28 | $15 | +$7 | +47% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $22 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23? | Feb 24 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 24? | Feb 23 | $26 | +$1 | +3% |