trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.4% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 57% | 14% | -6.8% |
| all | 21 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 52% | 19% | -7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.2% | 19% | -7.5% |
| 10% | -26.0% | 10% | -16.3% |
| 15% | -33.2% | 10% | -24.4% |
| 20% | -39.7% | 10% | -31.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Jun 11 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 11 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran? | Jun 07 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Apr 27 | $2,359 | +$33 | +1% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 25 | $631 | +$7 | +1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Apr 23 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Apr 16 | $268 | +$1 | +0% |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Apr 14 | $295 | +$37 | +12% |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | Apr 11 | $256 | +$35 | +14% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Apr 09 | $234 | +$7 | +3% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 08 | $253 | +$5 | +2% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Apr 06 | $253 | +$16 | +6% |
| Penguins vs. Hurricanes | Mar 13 | $150 | +$81 | +54% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Mar 05 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026? | Mar 01 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026 | Feb 03 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 29 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | Jan 21 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Clippers | Jan 05 | $22 | +$24 | +108% |