Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:08:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa890…92b1
crypto · 32 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open −$51
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103
Realized+$32
Unrealized−$51
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses10 / 11
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions11
Markets (closed)21 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day83.0
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 11 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$32
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 41¢ 38¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 18¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-20%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Yes 57¢ 48¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Yes 33¢ 32¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 6¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$35 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$30 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$15 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$24 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$18 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $21 +$122 +596%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$90
other 9% −$47
sports 8% +$119
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 57¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $17 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $65 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +7.8% -2.5% 48% 29% -5.8%
≤30d 21 +7.8% -2.5% 48% 29% -5.8%
≤90d 21 +7.8% -2.5% 48% 29% -5.8%
all 21 +7.8% -2.5% 48% 29% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 29% -5.8%
10% ← realistic here -11.8% 14% -14.8%
15% -20.4% 10% -23.0%
20% -28.2% 10% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.05 · official $103.05 (match) · 92 history records