Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T03:38:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A8 0xa897…977c crypto 312 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (193 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$29 (+1%) realized +$29 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate55%173W / 139L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day192.5pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$12
14 days−$89
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$84
culture 1% −$3
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (193 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 -2.2% -11.5% 69% 58% -15.3%
≤30d 312 -4.4% -13.5% 55% 42% -12.4%
≤90d 312 -4.4% -13.5% 55% 42% -12.4%
all 312 -4.4% -13.5% 55% 42% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover192.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 42% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 28% -20.8%
15% -29.3% 8% -28.4%
20% -36.3% 4% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses173 / 139
Open positions0
Markets (closed)312 / 312
History coverage11d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day192.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 312 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -70%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +31%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -7%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -80%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -72%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +20%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -37%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -16%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -54%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -81%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -58%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -79%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $0 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $0 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 20m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 30m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2463 history records