trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | +40.8% | +27.4% | 38% | 38% | +17.7% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +43.7% | +30.0% | 39% | 39% | +61.9% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +22.4% | +10.8% | 33% | 33% | +44.9% |
| all | 27 | +22.4% | +10.8% | 33% | 33% | +44.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.8% | 33% | +44.9% |
| 10% | +0.2% | 33% | +31.0% |
| 15% | -9.5% | 33% | +18.3% |
| 20% | -18.4% | 33% | +6.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1,302 | $1,030 | −$272 (-21%) |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 34¢ | 10¢ | $74 | $21 | −$53 (-72%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $153 | −$45 | -30% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $26 | +$99 | +388% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $206 | −$200 | -97% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in | Jun 17 | $41 | +$224 | +546% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2,533 | +$1,955 | +77% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $133 | −$130 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $477 | −$465 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1,071 | +$635 | +59% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $204 | +$462 | +226% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $486 | −$475 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $308 | −$300 | -97% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $713 | −$700 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $511 | +$800 | +157% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $51 | +$96 | +188% |
| Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? | Jun 15 | $39 | −$38 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $307 | +$1,120 | +365% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $850 | −$163 | -19% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 07 | $255 | −$248 | -97% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Jun 06 | $2,694 | +$6,686 | +248% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $864 | −$378 | -44% |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $417 | −$417 | -100% |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $637 | −$637 | -100% |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |