trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -28.7% | -35.5% | 50% | 50% | -19.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -28.7% | -35.5% | 50% | 50% | -19.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -28.7% | -35.5% | 50% | 50% | -19.6% |
| all | 14 | -49.1% | -53.9% | 36% | 36% | -20.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -53.9% | 36% | -20.7% |
| 10% | -58.3% | 36% | -28.3% |
| 15% | -62.4% | 14% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -66.0% | 7% | -41.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 | Under | 56¢ | 68¢ | $510 | $615 | +$105 (+21%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | No | 28¢ | 4¢ | $100 | $15 | −$85 (-85%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $705 | +$204 | +29% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $496 | +$136 | +27% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $446 | −$442 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $857 | +$341 | +40% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $403 | +$110 | +27% |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | Jun 25 | $713 | −$713 | -100% |
| Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 23 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 23 | $10 | +$9 | +90% |
| France vs. Iraq: Draw at halftime? | Jun 22 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5 | Jun 22 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 03 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |