Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa8cc…41a9
crypto · 241 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$791 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$426 · open −$366
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$703
Realized−$426
Unrealized−$366
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses105 / 135
Whale WR (big bets)19%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)240 / 241
History coverage1d
Avg bet$306
Trades / day3237.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$426
7 days−$426
14 days−$426
30 days−$426
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 33¢ 90¢ $227 $629 +$402 (+177%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 65¢ 10¢ $439 $64 −$376 (-85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $624 −$6 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $491 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $358 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $216 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $336 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $671 −$31 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $722 −$13 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $337 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $352 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $338 +$47 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $388 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$11 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $206 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $680 −$23 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $174 −$9 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $205 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $302 −$15 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $480 −$27 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $220 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $482 −$13 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $460 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $776 +$42 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $571 −$11 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $174 +$19 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $362 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $162 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $314 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $222 −$11 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$7 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $281 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $542 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $532 −$16 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $154 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $523 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $471 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $207 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $545 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $437 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $167 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $247 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $268 +$29 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $316 −$3 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$801
other 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $34 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $33 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $41 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $38 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $55 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $37 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $34 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $32 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $31 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $18 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $18 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $24 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $24 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $24 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 240 +9.0% -1.4% 44% 7% -10.1%
≤30d 240 +9.0% -1.4% 44% 7% -10.1%
≤90d 240 +9.0% -1.4% 44% 7% -10.1%
all 240 +9.0% -1.4% 44% 7% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3237.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.4% 7% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -10.8% 2% -18.7%
15% -19.4% 1% -26.5%
20% -27.3% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $702.69 · official $696.72 (match) · 3500 history records