Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:19:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A8 0xa8d8…9b4a crypto 82 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (135 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2 (+1%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate45%37W / 45L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day135.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (135 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -13.8% -22.0% 45% 45% -12.5%
≤30d 82 -13.8% -22.0% 45% 45% -12.5%
≤90d 82 -13.8% -22.0% 45% 45% -12.5%
all 82 -13.8% -22.0% 45% 45% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover135.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 45% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.4% 45% -20.9%
15% -36.3% 45% -28.5%
20% -42.5% 45% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -30% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.13 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses37 / 45
Open positions0
Markets (closed)82 / 82
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day135.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 82 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +88%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 214 history records