trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +595.5% | +529.3% | 100% | 100% | +529.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +247.8% | +214.6% | 50% | 50% | +113.3% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +247.8% | +214.6% | 50% | 50% | +113.3% |
| all | 135 | +5.4% | -4.7% | 39% | 39% | -13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.7% | 39% | -13.0% |
| 10% | -13.8% | 37% | -21.3% |
| 15% | -22.1% | 34% | -28.9% |
| 20% | -29.8% | 32% | -35.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 68¢ | 38¢ | $100 | $57 | −$43 (-43%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$61 | +596% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Rangers vs. Astros | Jul 13 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jul 13 | $15 | −$2 | -12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | Jul 09 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down on July 7? | Jul 09 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7? | Jul 09 | $15 | +$9 | +61% |
| XRP Up or Down on July 7? | Jul 09 | $15 | +$15 | +100% |
| Giants vs. Athletics | Jul 07 | $20 | +$13 | +67% |
| Rangers vs. Padres | Jul 07 | $20 | +$13 | +67% |
| Yankees vs. Reds | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Braves vs. Mets | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Orioles | Jun 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Diamondbacks vs. White Sox | Jun 24 | $20 | +$16 | +82% |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Jun 23 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | Jun 15 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Jun 15 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Reds vs. Tigers | Jun 15 | $20 | +$34 | +170% |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Jun 07 | $20 | +$17 | +85% |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | May 28 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Panthers | May 27 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | May 27 | $20 | +$13 | +64% |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | May 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | May 11 | $20 | +$22 | +108% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | May 06 | $20 | +$75 | +376% |
| Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | May 06 | $20 | +$23 | +112% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | May 06 | $10 | +$32 | +316% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | May 05 | $15 | +$47 | +316% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 01 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 25 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 25 | $20 | +$24 | +118% |
| Red Wings vs. Canadiens | Apr 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Spurs | Apr 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Apr 24 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Panthers | Apr 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Raptors | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | Apr 24 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Heat | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers | Apr 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Bulls | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Apr 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Pacers | Apr 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Apr 24 | $20 | +$13 | +64% |
| Heat vs. Celtics | Apr 03 | $15 | +$35 | +233% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY Yes | 68¢ | $101 | 1h |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL Yes | 100¢ | $71 | 6d |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 14¢ | $10 | 7d |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 18¢ | $10 | 8d |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 18¢ | $10 | 8d |
| Rangers vs. Astros | BUY Rangers | 39¢ | $14 | 342d |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL Toronto Blue Jays | 52¢ | $13 | 342d |
| Solana Up or Down on July 7? | BUY Up | 54¢ | $15 | 348d |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY Toronto Blue Jays | 59¢ | $15 | 348d |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7? | BUY Up | 65¢ | $15 | 348d |
| XRP Up or Down on July 7? | BUY Up | 50¢ | $15 | 348d |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7? | BUY No | 62¢ | $15 | 348d |
| Giants vs. Athletics | BUY Giants | 60¢ | $20 | 348d |
| Rangers vs. Padres | BUY Padres | 60¢ | $20 | 348d |
| Diamondbacks vs. White Sox | BUY Diamondbacks | 55¢ | $20 | 362d |
| Yankees vs. Reds | BUY Yankees | 54¢ | $20 | 362d |
| Braves vs. Mets | BUY Mets | 48¢ | $20 | 362d |
| Rangers vs. Orioles | BUY Rangers | 47¢ | $20 | 362d |
| Blue Jays vs. Phillies | BUY Blue Jays | 41¢ | $20 | 371d |
| Reds vs. Tigers | BUY Reds | 37¢ | $20 | 371d |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | BUY Oilers | 51¢ | $30 | 371d |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | BUY Thunder | 66¢ | $40 | 374d |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | BUY Oilers | 57¢ | $40 | 380d |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | BUY Oilers | 54¢ | $20 | 380d |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | BUY Knicks | 45¢ | $20 | 389d |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | BUY Thunder | 61¢ | $20 | 389d |
| Maple Leafs vs. Panthers | BUY Maple Leafs | 38¢ | $20 | 405d |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | BUY Golden Knights | 48¢ | $20 | 405d |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | BUY Warriors | 43¢ | $20 | 405d |
| Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | SELL Maple Leafs | 100¢ | $43 | 410d |