Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa8dd…e770
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,402 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,399 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$288
Realized−$3,399
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses50 / 304
Open positions1
Markets (closed)354 / 116
History coverage4d
Avg bet$119
Trades / day801.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 354 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,204
7 days−$3,399
14 days−$3,399
30 days−$3,399
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 57¢ 60¢ $82 $86 +$3 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $35 $53 +$18 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $29 $51 +$22 (+74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 43¢ 40¢ $52 $49 −$3 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $27 $49 +$21 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $8 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-70.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 354 -67.5% -70.6% 14% 3% -27.6%
≤30d 354 -67.5% -70.6% 14% 3% -27.6%
≤90d 354 -67.5% -70.6% 14% 3% -27.6%
all 354 -67.5% -70.6% 14% 3% -27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover801.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -70.6% 3% -27.6%
10% ← realistic here -73.4% 2% -34.5%
15% -76.0% 1% -40.8%
20% -78.3% 1% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $287.83 · official $283.13 · 3500 history records