trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 48% | 48% | -43.9% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 48% | 48% | -43.9% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 48% | 48% | -43.9% |
| all | 162 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 64% | 50% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.4% | 50% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -25.3% | 39% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -32.5% | 25% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -39.1% | 17% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | No | 54¢ | 54¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+49%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+13%) |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $66 | −$33 | -50% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +44% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +23% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +48% |
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 1 Uruguay? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +129% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$6 | +58% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +55% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +134% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Jan 29 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025? | Jan 08 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Hornets vs. Pistons | Jan 08 | $2 | $0 | +19% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) | Dec 21 | $2 | +$1 | +39% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 14 | $1 | +$1 | +72% |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets | Nov 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Spurs | Nov 21 | $1 | +$1 | +96% |
| Clippers vs. Magic | Nov 21 | $2 | +$1 | +47% |
| Rockets vs. Cavaliers | Nov 20 | $1 | +$1 | +92% |
| Kings vs. Thunder | Nov 20 | $11 | +$1 | +8% |
| Pistons vs. Hawks | Nov 19 | $2 | +$2 | +82% |
| Pacers vs. Pistons | Nov 18 | $5 | +$1 | +22% |
| Thunder vs. Pelicans | Nov 18 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Bucks vs. Cavaliers | Nov 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Pacers | Nov 17 | $2 | +$1 | +35% |
| Thunder vs. Hornets | Nov 17 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | Nov 15 | $1 | $0 | +49% |
| Pacers vs. Suns | Nov 15 | $2 | +$1 | +49% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Nov 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Nov 13 | $10 | +$1 | +9% |
| Wizards vs. Rockets | Nov 13 | $11 | +$1 | +9% |
| Warriors vs. Thunder | Nov 12 | $5 | +$2 | +37% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 10 | $86 | +$67 | +78% |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | Nov 09 | $10 | +$3 | +26% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner | Nov 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | Nov 09 | $21 | +$1 | +4% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | Nov 09 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? | Nov 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |