Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T04:15:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa90d…5ab4 crypto 17 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (3353 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$8,680 (+74%) realized +$8,680 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate18%3W / 14L
Whale WR40%big bets
Drawdown39%max
Avg bet$694per market
Trades / day3353.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$8,680
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3353 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +21.6% +10.0% 18% 18% +57.7%
≤30d 17 +21.6% +10.0% 18% 18% +57.7%
≤90d 17 +21.6% +10.0% 18% 18% +57.7%
all 17 +21.6% +10.0% 18% 18% +57.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3353.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.0% 18% +57.7%
10% -0.5% 18% +42.6%
15% ← realistic here -10.1% 18% +28.8%
20% -18.9% 18% +16.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 41% · top 2 81% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +74% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +22% · $-wt +74% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 40% (≥$1,041) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -57% → late +92% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
197.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5,716 vs −$605 · ×9.45 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.03 per $1 lost it wins $2.03
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8,680
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses3 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$694
Trades / day3353.0
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 17 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 29 $1,333 −$1,333 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 29 $806 +$6,995 +868%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 29 $2,099 −$2,081 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 29 $1,060 −$1,028 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 29 $86 −$85 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 29 $739 −$739 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 29 $1,041 +$6,847 +658%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 29 $556 −$543 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 29 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 29 $341 −$333 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 29 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 29 $306 −$301 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 29 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $222 −$222 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $119 −$111 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 28 $1,368 +$3,305 +242%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 28 $1,080 −$1,050 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $208 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3358 history records