Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:47:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa92f…1676
crypto · 1038 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$31 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses683 / 355
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1038 / 1038
History coverage18d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day109.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1038 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$10
14 days−$23
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$27
other 2% −$4
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 628 -0.5% -10.0% 77% 56% -9.8%
≤30d 1038 -1.7% -11.1% 66% 51% -10.2%
≤90d 1038 -1.7% -11.1% 66% 51% -10.2%
all 1038 -1.7% -11.1% 66% 51% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 51% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 31% -18.8%
15% -27.3% 21% -26.6%
20% -34.5% 16% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2841 history records