Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T16:34:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa934…38cc crypto 1696 markets active 0h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (115 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$249 (-3%) realized −$249 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate90%1529W / 169L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day114.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$38
14 days−$71
30 days−$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (115 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 505 -1.5% -10.9% 85% 0% -10.8%
≤30d 1698 -0.5% -10.0% 90% 1% -10.2%
≤90d 1698 -0.5% -10.0% 90% 1% -10.2%
all 1698 -0.5% -10.0% 90% 1% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover114.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 1% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$249
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1529 / 169
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1698 / 1696
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day114.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1698 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $0 −$3 -1301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records