trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 54% | 31% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 54% | 31% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 54% | 31% | -9.2% |
| all | 13 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 54% | 31% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.7% | 31% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -29.2% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -36.0% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -42.3% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 70¢ | 71¢ | $65 | $66 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 21? | Yes | 97¢ | 96¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $41 | −$38 | -91% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 23? | Jun 21 | $21 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 23? | Jun 21 | $21 | −$3 | -13% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative ele | Jun 21 | $73 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will MrBeast say "Win" or "Winner" during his next gaming YouTube vide | Jun 20 | $58 | +$7 | +11% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $72 | +$2 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Jun 19 | $2 | −$1 | -34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $50 | +$9 | +18% |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $62 | +$10 | +16% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? | Jun 18 | $31 | +$3 | +8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 18 | $30 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Trump say "Dog" in June? | Jun 15 | $96 | +$16 | +16% |