Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:57:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa957…1b62
crypto · 271 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$86 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$656 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$656
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses114 / 154
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)268 / 271
History coverage17d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day58.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 268 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$153
7 days−$382
14 days−$533
30 days−$656
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 23¢ 28¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$27 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $88 −$29 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $78 −$7 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $74 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $53 +$13 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$30 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$11 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$16 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$7 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$8 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$14 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$16 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$29 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$17 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $36 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$9 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$642
sports 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 23¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 204 -12.5% -20.9% 48% 41% -12.3%
≤30d 268 -18.7% -26.4% 43% 37% -15.8%
≤90d 268 -18.7% -26.4% 43% 37% -15.8%
all 268 -18.7% -26.4% 43% 37% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.4% 37% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -33.5% 31% -23.9%
15% -39.9% 24% -31.2%
20% -45.8% 15% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.37 · official $17.37 · 1040 history records