Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa957…a1f4
crypto · 80 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$47 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$46 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$46
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses62 / 14
Open positions4
Markets (closed)76 / 80
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day126.0
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 76 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days+$46
14 days+$46
30 days+$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 80¢ 81¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 79¢ 90¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 74¢ 82¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 88¢ 84¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$10 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $0 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +78%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +2.5% -7.2% 82% 78% -2.5%
≤30d 76 +2.5% -7.2% 82% 78% -2.5%
≤90d 76 +2.5% -7.2% 82% 78% -2.5%
all 76 +2.5% -7.2% 82% 78% -2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover126.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 78% -2.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 38% -11.9%
15% -24.2% 7% -20.4%
20% -31.6% 0% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.72 · official $20.61 · 191 history records