Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:24:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa95b…0d14 crypto 215 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (640 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,300 (+4%) realized +$1,301 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -40% what you keep after slip
Net edge-40%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate38%115W / 184L
Whale WR21%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$165per market
Trades / day640.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,358
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (640 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-29.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 299 -22.3% -29.7% 38% 34% -30.9%
≤30d 299 -22.3% -29.7% 38% 34% -30.9%
≤90d 299 -22.3% -29.7% 38% 34% -30.9%
all 299 -22.3% -29.7% 38% 34% -30.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover640.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.7% 34% -30.9%
10% ← realistic here -36.4% 32% -37.6%
15% -42.6% 28% -43.6%
20% -48.2% 23% -49.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -24% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -24% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 21% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +11% → late -55% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
15.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$86 vs −$118 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,301
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses115 / 184
Whale WR (big bets)21%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)299 / 215
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$165
Trades / day640.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 299 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 146 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $127 −$127 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $123 −$123 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $621 −$621 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $143 −$143 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $79 −$79 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl Jun 18 $688 −$688 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $526 −$526 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $126 −$126 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $120 −$120 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $356 −$356 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 18 $257 −$257 -100%
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 18 $251 −$251 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $166 −$166 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $61 −$61 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $185 −$185 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner Jun 18 $123 −$123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 18 $323 −$323 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $29 −$29 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $164 −$164 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 3 Winner Jun 18 $78 −$78 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $57 −$57 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $207 −$207 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $591 −$591 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 18 $580 −$580 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $98 −$98 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif Jun 18 $266 −$266 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division P Jun 18 $288 −$288 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $1.55 · 3500 history records