trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -3.2% | -12.5% | 40% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -3.2% | -12.5% | 40% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 43% | 0% | -11.0% |
| all | 28 | -2.6% | -11.8% | 36% | 4% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.8% | 4% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 4% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 4% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $57 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $57 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 09 | $11 | −$2 | -14% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 09 | $32 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Antonio Saravia win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Apr 01 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 28 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 24 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 24 | $3 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Elon tweet 265–279 times June 20–27? | Jun 23 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24? | Jun 22 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 13–20? | Jun 22 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 22 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between | Jun 21 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22? | Jun 21 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? | Jun 21 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 21 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday? | Jun 20 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party? | Jun 20 | $1 | +$1 | +40% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jun 19 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jun 19 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 18 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 17 | $29 | $0 | +1% |