Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:58:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
A9 0xa95f…a8c0 crypto 2087 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (76 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$659 (+4%) realized +$659 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +40% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +8% what you keep after slip
Net edge+8%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate66%993W / 510L
Drawdown2%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day76.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 28d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5,072
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (76 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 230 +36.8% +23.8% 77% 62% +25.4%
≤30d 1503 +39.9% +26.6% 66% 58% +30.5%
≤90d 1503 +39.9% +26.6% 66% 58% +30.5%
all 1503 +39.9% +26.6% 66% 58% +30.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover76.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +26.6% 58% +30.5%
10% ← realistic here +14.5% 48% +18.0%
15% +3.4% 42% +6.6%
20% -6.7% 38% -3.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +45% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +40% · $-wt +45% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +42% → late +38% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$8 · ×1.19 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×2.31 per $1 lost it wins $2.31
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$659
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses993 / 510
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1503 / 2087
History coverage28d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day76.4
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1503 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$42 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3154 history records