| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? |
Jun 18 |
$500 |
+$556 |
+111% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
Jun 15 |
$103 |
+$3 |
+3% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? |
Jun 12 |
$4,444 |
−$4,300 |
-97% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? |
Mar 24 |
$500 |
+$169 |
+34% |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? |
Mar 18 |
$1,000 |
−$1,000 |
-100% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? |
Mar 15 |
$1,025 |
−$1,025 |
-100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? |
Mar 15 |
$100 |
+$567 |
+567% |
| Will Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony? |
Feb 28 |
$200 |
−$200 |
-100% |
| Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony? |
Feb 28 |
$200 |
−$200 |
-100% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? |
Feb 28 |
$300 |
−$300 |
-100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? |
Feb 28 |
$300 |
−$300 |
-100% |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? |
Feb 28 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? |
Feb 28 |
$1,000 |
−$581 |
-58% |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? |
Feb 28 |
$1,000 |
−$523 |
-52% |
| Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? |
Feb 28 |
$200 |
−$200 |
-100% |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? |
Feb 28 |
$600 |
+$275 |
+46% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? |
Feb 28 |
$1,000 |
−$1,000 |
-100% |
| Miami vs. Indiana |
Feb 14 |
$1,000 |
+$333 |
+33% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots |
Feb 14 |
$1,100 |
+$494 |
+45% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? |
Feb 08 |
$200 |
−$200 |
-100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? |
Feb 08 |
$1,000 |
+$688 |
+69% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? |
Jan 18 |
$950 |
+$511 |
+54% |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? |
Jan 02 |
$300 |
−$300 |
-100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? |
Jan 02 |
$800 |
−$800 |
-100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? |
Jan 02 |
$1,500 |
−$1,500 |
-100% |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? |
Jan 02 |
$500 |
+$500 |
+100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? |
Jan 02 |
$1,000 |
+$136 |
+14% |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? |
Dec 31 |
$500 |
+$333 |
+67% |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? |
Dec 28 |
$540 |
+$15 |
+3% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? |
Dec 22 |
$1,600 |
−$1,600 |
-100% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? |
Dec 22 |
$1,100 |
+$58 |
+5% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025? |
Dec 22 |
$1,200 |
+$75 |
+6% |
| Maduro out by February 28, 2026? |
Dec 22 |
$500 |
−$500 |
-100% |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? |
Dec 22 |
$900 |
−$900 |
-100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? |
Dec 22 |
$945 |
+$308 |
+33% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? |
Dec 07 |
$2,000 |
−$2,000 |
-100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in December? |
Dec 07 |
$40 |
−$40 |
-100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in December? |
Dec 07 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30? |
Dec 05 |
$500 |
+$287 |
+57% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? |
Dec 05 |
$900 |
+$548 |
+61% |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? |
Dec 05 |
$900 |
+$57 |
+6% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? |
Nov 25 |
$80 |
+$7 |
+9% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? |
Nov 25 |
$10 |
−$8 |
-78% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? |
Nov 25 |
$200 |
−$142 |
-71% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? |
Nov 23 |
$20 |
−$19 |
-94% |
| Anthropic acquired in 2025? |
Nov 23 |
$50 |
−$45 |
-91% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? |
Nov 03 |
$1,099 |
+$321 |
+29% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? |
Nov 03 |
$1,500 |
+$972 |
+65% |
| Blue Jays vs. Dodgers |
Oct 29 |
$174 |
−$174 |
-100% |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025? |
Oct 29 |
$400 |
+$4 |
+1% |