Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:40:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa967…79a5
crypto · 42 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$636 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$645 · open +$54
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$379
Realized+$645
Unrealized+$54
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses35 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)41 / 42
History coverage538d
Avg bet$210
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 1 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$92
7 days+$92
14 days+$92
30 days+$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 84¢ 98¢ $325 $379 +$54 (+17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $328 +$29 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $278 +$56 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $276 +$17 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $204 +$75 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $128 +$56 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $116 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $126 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $117 +$28 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$26 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $404 −$404 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $76 +$10 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $402 +$32 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $403 +$42 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $719 −$204 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $480 +$72 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $303 +$49 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $426 +$22 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $279 +$24 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $402 +$36 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $151 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $126 +$58 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$54 +104%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? Mar 16 $311 +$165 +53%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? Mar 16 $140 +$45 +32%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? Mar 16 $289 +$284 +98%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31? Feb 17 $140 +$13 +9%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? Feb 17 $140 +$6 +4%
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $20 −$1 -4%
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $20 +$3 +14%
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $20 +$2 +12%
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $290 −$8 -3%
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +4%
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +5%
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +2%
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +2%
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum all time high by January 31? Jan 01 $92 −$2 -2%
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024? Dec 31 $462 +$7 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? Dec 31 $100 +$8 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December? Dec 31 $120 +$29 +24%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December? Dec 31 $461 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$702
other 5% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $101 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $101 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $101 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $20 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $101 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $101 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +13.8% +2.9% 86% 45% -8.1%
≤30d 22 +13.8% +2.9% 86% 45% -8.1%
≤90d 22 +13.8% +2.9% 86% 45% -8.1%
all 41 +13.8% +2.9% 85% 39% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.9% 39% -2.7%
10% -6.9% 24% -12.0%
15% -15.9% 17% -20.5%
20% -24.2% 7% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $379.49 · official $371.78 · 213 history records