Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:22:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa96d…acdd
sports · 306 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$148 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$145
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses118 / 184
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions4
Markets (closed)302 / 306
History coverage77d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$8
14 days+$13
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 52¢ 62¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+20%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$2 -63%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $1 +$2 +140%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $3 +$7 +194%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 +$1 +82%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 +$1 +112%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $3 −$1 -21%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$3 +89%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $1 +$1 +51%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 07 $2 −$1 -49%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $3 $0 -9%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$4 +178%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $1 −$1 -58%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $1 +$2 +163%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$2 -46%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $3 −$1 -20%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $3 +$3 +81%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $3 +$2 +56%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $3 +$3 +79%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $3 +$1 +37%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $3 +$1 +42%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3 +$4 +123%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$1 -24%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1 $0 +19%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$2 -60%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3 +$1 +38%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5) Jun 06 $2 +$1 +51%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Cha Jun 06 $3 +$2 +52%
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 4 Winner Jun 06 $1 $0 -0%
Map Handicap: SWIM (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (+1.5) Jun 06 $3 +$4 +124%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 $0 +25%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 05 $3 +$4 +113%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $3 $0 +4%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $3 −$2 -45%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $3 +$5 +141%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $2 +$4 +163%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$145
other 3% −$2
world 2% +$3
finance 1% −$2
tech 0% −$1
politics 0% −$1
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $2 20m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 70¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 47¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $1 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 31¢ $1 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $1 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $1 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $1 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $1 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $1 7h
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 65¢ $1 44h
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY Global Esports 44¢ $1 47h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $3 47h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $1 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 33¢ $1 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 100¢ $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 53¢ $1 3d
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta BUY NRG 59¢ $1 3d
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta BUY NRG 54¢ $1 3d
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta BUY NRG 53¢ $1 3d
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $1 3d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou SELL FUT Esports 58¢ $3 3d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY FUT Esports 71¢ $1 4d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY FUT Esports 69¢ $1 4d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY FUT Esports 71¢ $1 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $6 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +7.7% -2.6% 50% 50% -2.1%
≤30d 116 -4.7% -13.8% 47% 47% -13.5%
≤90d 302 -12.7% -21.1% 39% 37% -19.7%
all 302 -12.7% -21.1% 39% 37% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.1% 37% -19.7%
10% -28.6% 37% -27.4%
15% -35.5% 35% -34.4%
20% -41.8% 31% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.44 · official $5.44 (match) · 2867 history records