Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:28:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa96e…98ff crypto 79 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$29 (+4%) realized +$18 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate87%69W / 10L
Drawdown70%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day82.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +7.8% -2.5% 87% 48% -7.3%
≤30d 79 +7.8% -2.5% 87% 48% -7.3%
≤90d 79 +7.8% -2.5% 87% 48% -7.3%
all 79 +7.8% -2.5% 87% 48% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover82.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 48% -7.3%
10% ← realistic here -11.8% 34% -16.2%
15% -20.3% 14% -24.3%
20% -28.1% 6% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$8 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses69 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)79 / 79
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day82.0
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 79 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$8 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 164 history records