Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:06:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa972…40c2
crypto · 839 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$404 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$375 · open +$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$241
Realized+$375
Unrealized+$31
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses753 / 74
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions12
Markets (closed)827 / 839
History coverage63d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 12 History 827 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$349
7 days+$368
14 days+$437
30 days+$454
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 91¢ 81¢ $85 $76 −$9 (-10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 0¢ 78¢ $0 $44 +$44 (+0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 0¢ 76¢ $0 $41 +$41 (+0%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 93¢ 69¢ $50 $37 −$13 (-25%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 94¢ 48¢ $50 $25 −$25 (-49%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-21%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+23%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 28¢ 3¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-89%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$4 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $44 +$4 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$2 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$11 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$10 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$8 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$5 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$4 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$2 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $85 +$4 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% +$321
other 10% +$87
sports 2% +$18
weather 2% −$51
world 1% +$72
politics 1% −$30
culture 0% −$11
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $86 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $44 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $41 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $36 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $13 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $17 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 30m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 725 +1.0% -8.6% 94% 6% -8.4%
≤30d 781 +1.9% -7.8% 93% 9% -8.2%
≤90d 827 +0.5% -9.0% 91% 11% -8.4%
all 827 +0.5% -9.0% 91% 11% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 11% -8.4%
10% -17.7% 5% -17.2%
15% -25.7% 3% -25.2%
20% -33.0% 2% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $241.48 · official $192.22 · 1910 history records