Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T02:50:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa979…e2d4 crypto 204 markets active 2h ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$14,345 (+28%) realized +$14,345 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate54%110W / 94L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$249per market
Trades / day97.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 34d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,595
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -9.8% -18.4% 51% 51% -16.4%
≤30d 189 -5.6% -14.6% 53% 53% -15.3%
≤90d 204 -4.8% -13.9% 54% 54% -14.1%
all 204 -4.8% -13.9% 54% 54% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 54% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 54% -22.4%
15% -29.7% 54% -29.9%
20% -36.6% 54% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
16.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$190 vs −$249 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$14,345
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses110 / 94
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)204 / 204
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$249
Trades / day97.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 204 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 26 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $142 +$108 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $228 −$228 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 25 $178 +$139 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $160 +$125 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 25 $193 −$193 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $155 +$118 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $287 −$287 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $228 −$228 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 24 $187 −$187 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 24 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $162 −$162 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 24 $161 −$161 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $199 +$159 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $248 +$194 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $254 −$254 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $207 +$162 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 21 $276 −$276 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $270 +$203 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 21 $461 −$461 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 21 $381 −$381 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 21 $543 −$543 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 21 $555 +$416 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 21 $451 +$338 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $527 +$388 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 20 $493 −$493 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $283 +$213 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $288 −$288 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 20 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 20 $291 +$219 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $535 +$398 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $434 +$323 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $284 +$210 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $286 +$201 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $2 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $154 +$121 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 19 $188 +$149 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $161 −$161 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $240 +$186 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $227 +$171 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $148 +$114 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $184 +$144 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $186 −$186 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $148 +$116 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $212 +$166 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $216 −$216 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $89 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $86 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $99 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records