Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:16:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa984…5e22
crypto · 92 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$105 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$105 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$105
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses55 / 35
Open positions2
Markets (closed)90 / 92
History coverage71d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$107
14 days−$107
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 96¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +51%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$28 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$12 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$9 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$18 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $50 +$22 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$108
world 2% +$6
other 2% −$1
finance 1% −$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $63 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $39 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $55 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $54 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $38 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $32 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $32 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -4.2% -13.3% 63% 59% -16.6%
≤30d 86 -4.2% -13.3% 63% 59% -16.6%
≤90d 90 -4.5% -13.6% 61% 58% -16.2%
all 90 -4.5% -13.6% 61% 58% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 58% -16.2%
10% -21.9% 46% -24.2%
15% -29.4% 34% -31.5%
20% -36.3% 26% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.99 · official $5.99 (match) · 165 history records