Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa986…3af2
crypto · 1602 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$456 +65%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$456 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$456
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses48 / 851
Open positions0
Markets (closed)899 / 1602
History coverage36d
Avg bet$0
Trades / day93.9
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 899 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days+$418
14 days+$446
30 days+$463
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$472
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up $0 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down $1 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down $0 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down $0 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $0 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $0 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-50.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 -43.7% -49.0% 3% 3% -19.7%
≤30d 700 -37.0% -43.0% 3% 3% -22.8%
≤90d 899 -45.7% -50.9% 5% 2% -20.0%
all 899 -45.7% -50.9% 5% 2% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.9% 2% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -55.6% 2% -27.7%
15% -59.9% 2% -34.7%
20% -63.8% 2% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records