Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:12:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa98f…fede
crypto · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses1 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$4
other 12% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -14.6% -22.8% 17% 17% -26.6%
≤30d 6 -14.6% -22.8% 17% 17% -26.6%
≤90d 6 -14.6% -22.8% 17% 17% -26.6%
all 6 -14.6% -22.8% 17% 17% -26.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.8% 17% -26.6%
10% -30.2% 17% -33.6%
15% -36.9% 17% -40.0%
20% -43.1% 17% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records