trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | No | 53¢ | 99¢ | $800 | $1,503 | +$703 (+88%) |
| Will Cam Skattebo attend UFC Freedom 250? | No | 82¢ | 50¢ | $25 | $15 | −$10 (-39%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I | Jun 13 | $2,509 | +$684 | +27% |
| Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I | Jun 13 | $6,001 | +$1,973 | +33% |
| Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' | Jun 13 | $566 | +$157 | +28% |
| SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | Jun 12 | $6,255 | +$5,811 | +93% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +45.2% | +31.4% | 100% | 100% | +41.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +45.2% | +31.4% | 100% | 100% | +41.4% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +45.2% | +31.4% | 100% | 100% | +41.4% |
| all | 4 | +45.2% | +31.4% | 100% | 100% | +41.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +31.4% | 100% | +41.4% |
| 10% | +18.8% | 100% | +27.8% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +7.3% | 25% | +15.5% |
| 20% | -3.2% | 25% | +4.2% |