Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa996…34b5
politics · 280 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses65 / 206
Open positions9
Markets (closed)271 / 280
History coverage7d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day474.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 9 History 271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 13 $8 $0 -1%
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $3 $0 -1%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $12 $0 +0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $22 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $13 $0 -0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Jun 13 $6 $0 -1%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $14 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $24 $0 -0%
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $8 $0 -1%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $12 +$1 +4%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $9 $0 -1%
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebe Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? Jun 12 $17 $0 -0%
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $27 $0 -0%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $12 $0 +0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $27 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $18 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $28 +$2 +8%
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of Jun 12 $22 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $56 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $28 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $28 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $21 $0 -0%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 48% −$3
other 22% −$1
world 9% +$4
tech 7% $0
culture 7% $0
economics 6% $0
crypto 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $4 2m
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $0 2m
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $0 2m
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1 2m
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $2 12m
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $2 12m
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $2 13m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 13m
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $0 13m
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet SELL Yes 99¢ $0 13m
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $1 13m
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $0 13m
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $0 13m
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet SELL Yes 99¢ $2 13m
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $1 17m
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 99¢ $2 17m
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $3 17m
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $3 18m
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $0 18m
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $0 18m
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $2 18m
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $2 51m
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $3 52m
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $3 52m
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $0 52m
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1 52m
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close SELL No 100¢ $0 52m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $2 53m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 262 -0.2% -9.7% 24% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 271 -0.2% -9.7% 24% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 271 -0.2% -9.7% 24% 0% -9.5%
all 271 -0.2% -9.7% 24% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover474.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.86 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records