trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 17% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 8% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 8% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 28 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 18% | 0% | -11.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.7% | 0% | -11.9% |
| 10% | -24.7% | 0% | -20.3% |
| 15% | -31.9% | 0% | -28.0% |
| 20% | -38.6% | 0% | -35.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 24 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 24 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 24 | $53 | −$1 | -2% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $36 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 27 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? | Jun 03 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | Jun 02 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 01 | $8 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | May 31 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in May? | May 30 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | May 30 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $101K and $103K on May 27? | May 26 | $4 | −$3 | -77% |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | May 25 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | May 23 | $22 | −$6 | -29% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? | May 20 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 18 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday? | May 16 | $22 | $0 | +1% |