Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:12:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa99f…164b
sports · 378 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$4,786 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,791 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$129
Realized+$4,791
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses173 / 201
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$1,260
Open positions4
Markets (closed)374 / 378
History coverage20d
Avg bet$209
Trades / day84.4
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 4 History 374 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$268
7 days−$4,884
14 days−$215
30 days+$4,791
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 55¢ 54¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 62¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 55¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Under 35¢ 34¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 17¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 18¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 40¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Centurion: Semen Pankin vs Eliakim Coulibaly Semen Pankin 42¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic 61¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima Luca Van Assche 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Akira Santillan Akira Santillan 18¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Andrea Lazaro Garcia 36¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians Washington Nationals 52¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Sara Bejlek 25¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Tyra Caterina Grant Varvara Lepchenko 26¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Kamil Majchrzak Sho Shimabukuro 25¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Alex Michelsen 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 45¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneeva Alina Korneeva 26¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $254 +$223 +88%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $50 +$17 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $92 −$90 -98%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $188 +$71 +38%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $61 +$98 +161%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $22 +$73 +329%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $76 +$5 +6%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $44 +$152 +343%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $41 +$65 +158%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $37 −$36 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 +$26 +52%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $40 −$40 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $66 −$3 -4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $31 +$31 +102%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $16 +$1 +3%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $71 −$70 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $142 −$140 -98%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 11 $51 +$53 +105%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $81 +$73 +90%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $138 +$18 +13%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $101 −$100 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $213 +$252 +118%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $123 +$103 +84%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $150 −$148 -98%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $269 −$263 -98%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $51 +$181 +353%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $154 +$156 +101%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 10 $184 −$180 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $51 +$15 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $76 +$12 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $83 −$74 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $380 −$178 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $188 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $55 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $76 +$16 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $408 +$161 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $327 +$169 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 10 $368 +$53 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $201 +$10 +5%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $203 +$168 +83%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $1,416 −$1,394 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$4,261
crypto 3% −$24
other 2% +$593
world 0% −$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 35¢ $12 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $40 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $30 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $51 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $30 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 51¢ $41 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 51¢ $30 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 49¢ $28 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $30 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $30 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $20 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $20 5h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 74¢ $50 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $51 5h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 29¢ $10 8h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 45¢ $10 8h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 47¢ $20 8h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 42¢ $5 8h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 45¢ $5 8h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 47¢ $10 8h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 44¢ $31 8h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 27¢ $10 8h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 50¢ $5 9h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 44¢ $5 9h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 44¢ $5 9h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 51¢ $10 9h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $5 9h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 38¢ $5 9h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 56¢ $5 9h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 35¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 -2.1% -11.4% 43% 41% -24.3%
≤30d 374 +4.4% -5.5% 46% 43% -4.0%
≤90d 374 +4.4% -5.5% 46% 43% -4.0%
all 374 +4.4% -5.5% 46% 43% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 43% -4.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 41% -13.2%
15% -22.8% 40% -21.6%
20% -30.4% 38% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $129.10 · official $129.10 (match) · 1981 history records