Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9a6…7fac
crypto · 71 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$94 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses37 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Hawks Hawks 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa India 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1) Italy 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 December 29-January 4? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: India vs Namibia (Game 1) Namibia 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Magic Magic 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1) Scotland 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Suns vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
No airdrop in 2025? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Nets vs. Bulls Bulls 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 21¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1) New Zealand 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Mar 22 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa Feb 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Feb 20 $14 −$14 -100%
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? Feb 20 $51 −$51 -100%
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1) Feb 17 $48 −$22 -46%
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1) Feb 16 $31 +$12 +38%
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1) Feb 16 $4 +$2 +41%
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1) Feb 16 $0 $0 -100%
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1) Feb 14 $3 −$2 -61%
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1) Feb 12 $14 +$1 +4%
T20 World Cup: India vs Namibia (Game 1) Feb 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% −$19
other 41% −$64
crypto 16% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-35.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -8.9% -17.5% 64% 50% -15.2%
≤30d 39 -26.1% -33.1% 54% 44% -30.2%
≤90d 40 -27.9% -34.8% 52% 42% -31.9%
all 71 -29.1% -35.9% 52% 41% -36.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.9% 41% -36.6%
10% -42.0% 32% -42.7%
15% -47.6% 20% -48.2%
20% -52.8% 8% -53.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 148 history records