Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:13:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa9ab…f325 crypto 727 markets active 2d ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (184 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,099 (+2%) realized +$1,099 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate65%534W / 291L
Whale WR78%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$81per market
Trades / day184.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 15d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (184 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 372 -19.2% -26.9% 55% 28% -25.3%
≤30d 825 -6.6% -15.5% 65% 32% -15.3%
≤90d 825 -6.6% -15.5% 65% 32% -15.3%
all 825 -6.6% -15.5% 65% 32% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover184.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 32% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 22% -23.4%
15% -30.9% 15% -30.8%
20% -37.7% 10% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 78% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late -17% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$40 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,099
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses534 / 291
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)825 / 727
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$81
Trades / day184.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 825 Trades
no open positions (158 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $191 −$191 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $91 −$91 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $28 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $30 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $86 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $23 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $66 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $67 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $67 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $38 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $19 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $28 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $24 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records