Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa9af…dd61
crypto · 1397 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,874 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,853 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$69
Realized−$1,853
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses645 / 872
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1517 / 1397
History coverage23d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day119.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1517 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,727
7 days−$1,727
14 days−$1,729
30 days−$1,853
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 53¢ 96¢ $37 $67 +$29 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 60¢ 4¢ $23 $2 −$22 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$20 -3834%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$10 -580%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$29 -5789%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$10 -402%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$220
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $39 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $29 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $37 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $36 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $40 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $13 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $11 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $31 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $29 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $9 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 -74.8% -77.2% 13% 10% -56.6%
≤30d 1517 -10.6% -19.1% 43% 42% -20.0%
≤90d 1517 -10.6% -19.1% 43% 42% -20.0%
all 1517 -10.6% -19.1% 43% 42% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover119.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 42% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 42% -27.7%
15% -34.0% 41% -34.7%
20% -40.4% 41% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $68.62 · official $67.06 · 3500 history records